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KEY SIGNAL
Offered: 331.74 million kg
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KEY SIGNAL
Sold: 282.15 million kg
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KEY SIGNAL
Difference: 49.59 million kg; unsold 15%
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Reading the origin signal
The cumulative difference is not the same as a warehouse stock count. Unsold lots may be withdrawn, reoffered, sold privately or otherwise change status. Nevertheless, a 15% cumulative unsold ratio is a meaningful clearance indicator and can affect seller cash flow, reoffer competition and the age profile of available tea.
The same sale report shows why averages must be segmented: Sale 30 orthodox tea averaged $3.49 per kilogram on just 50,699 kilograms sold, while the much larger all-tea flow averaged $2.14. Product mix, not only market mood, shapes both the average and the buyer opportunity.
From crop data to a buying rule
Importers can ask whether proposed lots are current-crop, previously unsold or blended with carried tea. There is no automatic quality penalty in a reoffered lot, but the buyer should verify storage, sample freshness and lot identity before treating accumulated supply as cheap inventory.
Next origin signals
Four controls for the next lot
A buyer assumes every unsold kilogram remains available at a discount. The supplier instead identifies which lots were reoffered, which were withdrawn and which are no longer available. The buyer then evaluates only traceable current offers and avoids building a forecast on a false stock figure.
